AP Business Case Study · Unit 2, Task 5

Costco: The $65 Card Behind the $1.50 Hot Dog

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Unit 2 · Price and Pricing Strategies

A real-company case study for Unit 2, Task 5 of AP Business with Personal Finance, written in the same format as the course's business cases. Read the case, answer each question on your own, then open the sample answers to check your thinking. Facts are current as of October 2026, and every source is listed at the bottom.

The Case

Unit & taskUnit 2, Task 5: Price and Pricing Strategies
Topic2.5
Key peopleJim Sinegal (Co-founder; CEO until the start of 2012); Craig Jelinek (CEO from 2012 through 2023); Ron Vachris (President and CEO since January 1, 2024); Gary Millerchip (Executive vice president and chief financial officer)
Case years1983–2026 · Evaluation case
Key questionHow does Costco combine low merchandise markups with a paid membership to build pricing power, and what market conditions and laws limit that power?
Business Canvas componentsCustomer, Market, Finance
Snapshot
  • Business: Costco Wholesale Corporation, a chain of membership warehouse clubs
  • Industry: Retail (warehouse clubs)
  • Founded: 1983, when its first warehouse opened in Seattle
  • Headquarters: Issaquah, Washington
  • Key people: Ron Vachris, president and CEO; Gary Millerchip, CFO
  • Ownership/Status: Public company (Nasdaq: COST); 939 warehouses and 84.1 million paid members at the end of fiscal 2026

A Store You Pay to Enter

Most stores want everyone to walk through the door. Costco Wholesale asks shoppers to pay first: to shop in one of its warehouses, a customer needs a membership card. Co-founders Jim Sinegal and Jeff Brotman started Costco in 1983, when its first warehouse opened in Seattle. Today the company is headquartered in Issaquah, Washington. At the end of its 2026 fiscal year on August 30, 2026, Costco operated 939 warehouses in the United States, Puerto Rico, and 13 other countries, and it employed about 355,000 people.

Costco’s annual report lays out the formula: sell a limited range of name-brand and store-brand goods at low prices, move a large volume of merchandise quickly, and accept much thinner gross margins than most retailers. In fiscal 2026, Costco’s gross margin (net sales minus the cost of the merchandise) was about 11 percent of net sales. The company says its store brand, Kirkland Signature, is generally priced below national brands.

Low Markups and a $1.50 Hot Dog

Sinegal led Costco as CEO until the start of 2012. As he prepared to step down, The Seattle Times reported that he had long refused to mark up brand-name items by more than 14 percent. Low prices became part of Costco’s identity, and nothing shows it better than the food court. By 2024, Costco’s hot dog and soda combo had cost $1.50 for nearly four decades, since 1985. In 2011, Craig Jelinek, who was about to succeed Sinegal as CEO, told the newspaper that he did not expect Costco to raise the price and called it a Costco trademark.

News outlets have called the combo a loss leader, meaning Costco will take a loss on it if the deal gives shoppers another reason to join and to keep coming back. After media speculation that inflation might finally push the price up, Gary Millerchip used his first earnings call as Costco’s chief financial officer, on May 30, 2024, to confirm that the $1.50 price was safe.

Where the Profit Comes From

If Costco keeps merchandise prices close to its costs, how does it make money? A big part of the answer is the membership card. Since September 2024, a basic U.S. Gold Star membership has cost $65 a year. An Executive membership costs $130 and gives members a reward of 2 percent on qualified purchases, up to $1,250 a year. In fiscal 2026, Costco collected $5.9 billion in membership fees. That was only about 2 percent of its total revenue, but it equaled nearly two-thirds of the company’s $9.2 billion net income (see Exhibit 1).

Members keep paying. At the end of fiscal 2026, Costco had 84.1 million paid members, including 42.3 million Executive members, and 150.4 million cardholders when extra household cards are counted. In the United States and Canada, 92.3 percent of members renewed; worldwide, the renewal rate was 89.8 percent.

Raising the Price of the Card

Costco does not raise its fee often. Before 2024, its last increase was in 2017. In July 2022, as inflation squeezed household budgets, Jelinek told CNBC the company was holding off. In September 2023, then-CFO Richard Galanti told investors the question was when, not whether, fees would rise. In July 2024, Costco announced that starting September 1, 2024, fees in the U.S. and Canada would rise from $60 to $65 for Gold Star and Business members and from $120 to $130 for Executive members. The maximum Executive reward would rise from $1,000 to $1,250. The change affected about 52 million memberships, a little over half of them Executive. Costco predicted the new fees would add about $370 million in revenue over two years.

Membership fee revenue climbed from $4.8 billion in fiscal 2024 to $5.9 billion in fiscal 2026. Costco reported that the fee increase accounted for about 40 percent of membership income growth in fiscal 2025 and about 30 percent in fiscal 2026; most of the rest came from new member sign-ups and upgrades to Executive membership. The U.S. and Canada renewal rate slipped from 92.9 percent at the end of fiscal 2024 to 92.3 percent a year later. Costco said the dip came from a larger share of memberships sold online, including through digital promotions; on average, those members are a bit less likely to renew.

Outside Forces and What Comes Next

Costco’s prices also depend on forces outside its control. In February 2025, the U.S. government began charging tariffs on certain imports under a 1977 emergency-powers law, the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA). Costco paid about $500 million in these tariffs. In late November 2025, Costco sued the federal government, seeking a full refund. In February 2026, the U.S. Supreme Court ruled that the IEEPA tariffs were unlawful. Ron Vachris, who replaced Jelinek as CEO on January 1, 2024, told investors in March 2026 that Costco would pass any refunds back to members through lower prices and better values. By the end of fiscal 2026, Costco had received $184 million in refunds and interest, and on its September 2026 earnings call, Millerchip said the company planned to keep reinvesting most of the refund money in value for members. On the same call, he listed Kirkland Signature price cuts from the quarter as examples of Costco’s goal of lowering prices whenever it sees a chance, such as walnuts falling from $13.79 to $9.99 and Colombian whole-bean coffee falling from $21.99 to $19.99.

The law limits pricing in other ways, too. The Federal Trade Commission explains that under federal antitrust law, a company may choose its own prices, but competitors who agree with one another on prices are almost always breaking the law. A business may match a rival’s price on its own, but it may not coordinate prices with that rival. That rule applies to everything from the price of a membership card to the price of a pack of paper towels.

As of October 2026, Costco is growing on both sides of its model. Net sales rose to $297.2 billion in fiscal 2026, net income rose 14 percent to $9.2 billion, and the number of paid members grew about 4 percent from a year earlier. The basic U.S. fee is $65. The challenge for Costco’s leaders is to keep members convinced that the card pays for itself through low markups, Kirkland Signature, and symbols like the $1.50 hot dog, while tariffs, competitors, and the law shape what Costco can charge.

Exhibit 1: Costco by fiscal year (fiscal years end on the Sunday nearest the end of August)
Fiscal yearNet salesMembership feesNet incomePaid members (year-end)U.S. and Canada renewal rate
2024$249.6 billion$4.83 billion$7.37 billion76.2 million92.9%
2025$269.9 billion$5.32 billion$8.10 billion81.0 million92.3%
2026$297.2 billion$5.91 billion$9.23 billion84.1 million92.3%

Source: Costco Form 10-K annual reports for fiscal 2024, 2025, and 2026. The fee increase took effect on September 1, 2024, at the start of fiscal 2025.

Reading Questions

These are the same for every case. They check that you caught the basics before you analyze.

1. Which business does this case feature, and what product or service does it provide?
The case features Costco Wholesale, which operates membership warehouse clubs. It sells a limited selection of brand-name and Kirkland Signature products at low prices to people who pay an annual membership fee ($65 for a U.S. Gold Star membership or $130 for an Executive membership). Its food courts are known for the $1.50 hot dog and soda combo.
2. Who are the key people named in the case, and what roles do they play? Which other stakeholders — individuals or groups — have an interest in the business?
Jim Sinegal co-founded Costco with Jeff Brotman and, as CEO, refused to mark up brand-name items by more than 14 percent. Craig Jelinek, CEO from 2012 through 2023, said in 2011 that he did not expect the $1.50 hot dog price to rise and held off on a fee increase in 2022. Richard Galanti, a former CFO, said a fee increase was a matter of when. Ron Vachris, CEO since 2024, said Costco would pass tariff refunds back to members, and CFO Gary Millerchip confirmed the $1.50 hot dog price in 2024 and later listed Kirkland Signature price cuts. Other stakeholders include members (Gold Star and Executive), about 355,000 employees, suppliers whose brands Costco sells, shareholders, competing retailers, and the government agencies and courts involved in tariffs and antitrust law.
3. Identify an opportunity and/or a challenge the business faces in this case.
One opportunity is growth in Executive memberships (42.3 million in fiscal 2026), since these members pay $130 a year. Another is using tariff refunds to cut prices, which can raise members’ perceived value of the card. One challenge is that tariffs raised Costco’s costs, costing it about $500 million. Another is that members who join online renew at a slightly lower rate, which pulled the U.S. and Canada renewal rate down from 92.9 percent to 92.3 percent.

Practice Questions

These apply the Unit 2 concepts from Task 5 to the case, in the style of AP free-response prompts.

1. Identify the pricing strategy behind Jim Sinegal’s 14 percent markup limit. Then calculate the highest price Costco could charge under that limit for a brand-name item that costs Costco $20, and explain one reason this strategy fits Costco’s membership model.Topic 2.5 · LO 2.5.A
Sinegal’s limit is a form of cost-based pricing, because the price is set by adding a markup to the per-unit cost. Highest price = $20 + (14% × $20) = $20 + $2.80 = $22.80. The strategy fits Costco’s model because Costco does not depend on large markups for its profit: it collected $5.9 billion in membership fees in fiscal 2026, an amount equal to nearly two-thirds of its $9.2 billion net income. Low markups raise members’ perceived value of the card, which helps explain why 92.3 percent of U.S. and Canadian members renewed. The tradeoff is that cost-based pricing ignores how much shoppers would be willing to pay, so Costco gives up some profit on each item in exchange for loyal, fee-paying members.
2. Using Exhibit 1 and evidence from the case, explain whether demand for Costco memberships was elastic or inelastic after the September 2024 fee increase, and explain how market conditions gave Costco pricing power.Topic 2.5 · LO 2.5.B
The Gold Star fee rose from $60 to $65, a price increase of ($65 − $60) ÷ $60 ≈ 8.3%. Instead of falling, paid members grew from 76.2 million to 81.0 million in fiscal 2025, an increase of (81.0 − 76.2) ÷ 76.2 ≈ 6.3%, and the U.S. and Canada renewal rate dipped only from 92.9% to 92.3%, a change Costco linked mainly to members who joined online. Because the number of members did not fall by a larger percentage than the price rose, demand was inelastic, so the higher price raised revenue: membership fees grew about 10%, from $4.83 billion to $5.32 billion. (New warehouses and sign-ups also added members, so this is strong evidence of inelastic demand rather than an exact measurement.) Costco had this pricing power because its low markups, Kirkland Signature products, and Executive rewards make the card worth more to members than its price, so few members saw a better substitute. Waiting seven years since the last increase and keeping the increase small also made it easier for members to accept.
3. Describe one legal constraint that limits Costco’s pricing power, and explain how it would apply if Costco considered raising its membership fee again.Topic 2.5 · LO 2.5.C
Federal antitrust law bans price fixing, also called collusion, which is an agreement among competitors to set prices. As the FTC explains, a company may choose its own prices, but competitors who agree with one another on prices are almost always breaking the law. If Costco wanted to raise its $65 fee, it could study rival clubs’ fees and even match a rival’s fee on its own, but it could not agree with a rival to raise fees together. This limits Costco’s pricing power because its fee has to stay attractive in a competitive market instead of being protected by a secret deal. If members felt the card was no longer worth the price, they could switch to a competitor, which keeps Costco’s fee in check.

Discussion Questions

Talk these through with a partner or your class. There's more than one good answer, so back yours up with evidence from the case.

  1. Costco kept its hot dog and soda combo at $1.50 from 1985 through at least 2024. Is holding one famous price steady through decades of inflation a smart pricing decision or a risky one? What might happen to members’ trust if Costco raised it?
  2. Costco waited from 2017 until 2024 to raise its membership fee and held off in 2022 while inflation was squeezing households. What market conditions make a price increase easier or harder for a business to justify?
  3. Costco said it would return tariff refunds to members through lower prices instead of keeping them as profit. How could that decision affect members’ perceived value and Costco’s future pricing power?
  4. Which factor do you think contributes most to Costco’s pricing power over its membership fee? (a) low markups on merchandise, (b) Kirkland Signature products, (c) Executive membership rewards, (d) the $1.50 hot dog combo. Support your choice with evidence from the case.
  5. Is charging customers a fee just to shop a fair pricing model? Who benefits from it, and who might be left out?

Application Activity

Choose a business that charges a membership or subscription fee, such as a streaming service, a gym, or a warehouse club. Identify its pricing strategy, describe one market condition that could increase or limit its ability to raise the fee, and describe one legal constraint it must follow when setting prices. Then decide whether you would recommend a price increase and support your answer with evidence.

Key Takeaways

  • A pricing strategy can work across several prices at once. Costco uses cost-based pricing with low markups on merchandise, a symbolic price on the $1.50 hot dog, and a membership fee that brings in $5.9 billion a year.
  • Pricing power comes from perceived value. Because members believe the card saves them more than it costs, demand stayed inelastic when the Gold Star fee rose about 8 percent in 2024, and paid members kept growing.
  • Market conditions and laws shape pricing. Inflation made Costco wait on a fee increase, tariffs raised its costs, refunds let it cut prices, and antitrust law requires it to set prices on its own rather than with competitors.

Use it in your Business Canvas Project

Use Costco’s example to think about pricing your Business Canvas product in more than one piece, such as a low product price paired with a subscription, add-on, or loyalty fee. Test your pricing hypothesis by asking target customers whether the total value is worth the total price.

For Teachers

Opening activity: Ask students whether they would pay $65 a year just for the right to shop at a store. Have them list what the store would have to offer to make the fee worth it, then compare their lists. Explain that the case shows how one retailer uses very low prices on products to make customers willing to pay for access.

Tip: “Print case” prints the case and all questions with the sample answers hidden, so it works as a student handout.

Sources

  1. Costco Wholesale Corporation Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended August 30, 2026, Costco Wholesale Corporation (SEC filing), 2026
  2. Costco Wholesale Corporation Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended August 31, 2025, Costco Wholesale Corporation (SEC filing), 2025-10-08
  3. Costco Wholesale Corporation Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended September 1, 2024, Costco Wholesale Corporation (SEC filing), 2024
  4. Costco’s colorful CEO, co-founder Jim Sinegal to retire, The Seattle Times, 2011
  5. Costco’s $1.50 hot dog price is ‘safe,’ company’s CFO says, ABC7 (ABC News), 2024-05-31
  6. Costco just raised its membership fees for the first time in 7 years, NBC New York (TODAY), 2024-09-03
  7. Costco Wholesale Corporation Form 8-K: Craig Jelinek to step down as CEO; Ron Vachris elected President and CEO, Costco Wholesale Corporation (SEC filing), 2023-10-18
  8. Costco to flow tariff refunds, if and when received, back to customers, CFO Dive, 2026-03-06
  9. Costco (COST) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript, Webull News, 2026-09-24
  10. Price Fixing (Guide to Antitrust Laws), Federal Trade Commission, n.d.

This case was written for educational use from the public sources listed above. Costco did not review it and is not affiliated with this site; company names are trademarks of their owners. This resource is independent and not affiliated with or endorsed by College Board.