AP Business Case Study · Unit 1, Task 6

Toyota: When Just-in-Time Meets Just-in-Case

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Unit 1 · From Raw to Customer Ready: The Supply Chain

A real-company case study for Unit 1, Task 6 of AP Business with Personal Finance, written in the same format as the course's business cases. Read the case, answer each question on your own, then open the sample answers to check your thinking. Facts are current as of October 2026, and every source is listed at the bottom.

The Case

Unit & taskUnit 1, Task 6: From Raw to Customer Ready: The Supply Chain
Topic1.8
Key peopleKiichiro Toyoda (Founder of Toyota Motor Corporation and originator of just-in-time); Taiichi Ohno (Toyota executive who built the framework for just-in-time); Akio Toyoda (President of Toyota during the 2011 earthquake); Masayoshi Shirayanagi (Toyota’s chief of supply chain and procurement (as of 2020))
Case years1896–2026 · Evaluation case
Key questionHow did Toyota balance the low cost of just-in-time production against the risk of supply chain disruptions, and how well did the changes it made after 2011 work?
Business Canvas componentsOperations, Product
Snapshot
  • Business: Toyota Motor Corporation
  • Industry: Automobile manufacturing
  • Founder: Kiichiro Toyoda
  • Production approach: Toyota Production System (just-in-time and jidoka)
  • Key people: Kenta Kon, president and CEO (named in February 2026, effective April 1, 2026)
  • Size: 11.3 million vehicles sold in 2025 (Toyota group, including Daihatsu and Hino)

Only What Is Needed, When It Is Needed

A car is built from more than 30,000 parts, and many of them come from partner companies’ plants. Getting every one of those parts to the right place at the right moment is one of the biggest puzzles in manufacturing. Toyota’s answer is the Toyota Production System, a way of making things that aims to eliminate waste so vehicles can be delivered quickly, at low cost, and with high quality.

The system rests on two ideas. The first, jidoka, traces back to Sakichi Toyoda, founder of the Toyota Group, who in 1896 developed a device that automatically stopped a loom when a thread broke. In Toyota’s factories, a machine stops—or a worker pulls a cord to stop the line—when something goes wrong, so defective products are not passed along. The second idea, just-in-time, came from Kiichiro Toyoda, founder of Toyota Motor Corporation: make only what is needed, when it is needed, and in the amount needed, at the pace vehicles are being sold. As Kiichiro put it, “A complete car cannot be built if even one part is missing.”

Taiichi Ohno, who rose to executive vice president, built the basic framework for just-in-time. Instead of pushing parts forward, each step in the process goes back to the step before it and takes only the parts it has used, and cards called kanban tell suppliers to send the required quantity right when it is needed. Toyota worked out the system through trial and error in the late 1940s and early 1950s, began rolling it out to all of its plants in 1960, and began introducing it to its suppliers in the late 1960s. Because only a minimum of parts sits on hand, little money is tied up in extra stock—but every process depends on the next delivery arriving on time.

March 11, 2011

That dependence was tested on March 11, 2011, when a magnitude 9.0 earthquake and tsunami struck northeastern Japan and damaged many of the companies that supplied Toyota. That month, Toyota’s car production in Japan fell 62.7% from a year earlier, to 129,491 vehicles—the lowest since Toyota began keeping production records in 1976. Its global production fell 29.9%. In April, Toyota restarted its Japanese plants at only half capacity because it was still trying to secure about 150 types of parts, and it had already lost production of about 260,000 cars. President Akio Toyoda publicly apologized to customers for long delivery delays and said all models might not return to normal production until November or December. In North America, where production was also cut, Toyota promised not to lay off any of its 25,000 workers and planned to use the downtime for training.

The disaster exposed a hidden weakness: Toyota did not have a full picture of the companies that supplied its suppliers. Jeffrey Liker, author of a book about Toyota’s methods, told Fortune that managers did not know these lower-tier suppliers’ names, phone numbers, or addresses. In the first hectic weeks, they pieced the information together in a crisis room, tracking details on sticky notes. Toyota estimated that more than 1,200 of the parts and materials it bought might be affected, and it drew up a list of 500 priority items whose supply needed to be secured in the future. Some came from Renesas Electronics, a Japanese chipmaker whose plant was knocked out for three months. Toyota’s production outside Japan took six months to return to normal.

Building a Safety Net

Toyota did not abandon just-in-time, but it added protection. It built a database called RESCUE (Reinforce Supply Chain Under Emergency) that maps its suppliers and their suppliers. Masayoshi Shirayanagi, then Toyota’s chief of supply chain and procurement, said the system cut the time needed to find the source of a problem from two weeks to 12 hours. Toyota also uses parallel sourcing—buying the same part from more than one supplier—so it can shift orders if one supplier falters.

The biggest change involved computer chips, which have long lead times—the wait between placing an order and receiving it. Under Toyota’s business continuity plan, suppliers had to hold a two- to six-month supply of chips for Toyota. Holding extra stock costs money, so, according to Reuters, Toyota pays for the arrangement by giving back a portion of the yearly cost cuts it normally demands from its suppliers. A Toyota spokesman summed up the approach: “The BCP for us was a classic lean solution.”

The Chip Shortage Test

The safety net faced its test in 2021, when automakers around the world ran short of semiconductors. Early that year, a cold snap in Texas shut down chip factories, a drought in Taiwan threatened chip supplies, and in March a fire halted a Renesas plant in Japan. General Motors cut production by 278,000 vehicles through May, and Ford cut its global production 50% in the second quarter. Toyota, by contrast, kept production largely on target until May, and its North American plants ran at 90% of capacity through June. Fortune reported that in the second quarter of 2021, Toyota was the No. 1 automaker by sales in North America—the first time since 1998 that GM had not held the top spot.

The cushion had limits. In August 2021, Toyota said it would cut its September global production by 40% from its plan, about 360,000 fewer vehicles, across 14 factories. The chip shortage had been made worse by COVID-19 outbreaks in Asia that disrupted parts suppliers, and Toyota had already halted three plants in Thailand in July. Reuters described Toyota as the last major automaker to cut output because of the chip shortage.

Where Toyota Stands

Other automakers took notice. In 2021, Ford said it would build direct relationships with chipmakers, and GM said it might do the same. Toyota, meanwhile, kept growing. In 2025, the Toyota group, including its subsidiaries Daihatsu and Hino, sold a record 11.3 million vehicles, up 4.6%, and remained the world’s top-selling automaker for the sixth year in a row; its production rose 5.7% to 11.2 million vehicles. In February 2026, Toyota announced that Kenta Kon, its chief financial officer, would take over as president and CEO on April 1, 2026. More than a decade after the earthquake, Toyota’s experience suggests that a company can stay lean while keeping a cushion for the parts it cannot do without—though no cushion covers every shock.

Exhibit 1: Toyota’s supply chain shocks by the numbers, 2011–2025
WhenWhat happenedFigure
March 2011Toyota car production in Japan after the earthquake and tsunami129,491 vehicles (down 62.7% from a year earlier)
March 2011Toyota global production542,465 vehicles (down 29.9%)
By late April 2011Production lost because of parts shortagesAbout 260,000 cars
After 2011Parts and materials Toyota found might be affected / priority items listedMore than 1,200 / 500
By 2021Chips suppliers had to keep in reserve for Toyota2 to 6 months’ worth
Through May 2021General Motors production cut during the chip shortage (for comparison)278,000 vehicles
September 2021Toyota global production cut from plan40% (about 360,000 vehicles)
2025Toyota group global sales / production11.3 million / 11.2 million vehicles

Sources: Associated Press (April 22 and 25, 2011); Reuters (March and August 2021); Fortune (August 2, 2021); Bloomberg (January 29, 2026).

Reading Questions

These are the same for every case. They check that you caught the basics before you analyze.

1. Which business does this case feature, and what product or service does it provide?
The case features Toyota Motor Corporation, a Japanese automaker that designs, builds, and sells cars and other vehicles. In 2025 the Toyota group, including Daihatsu and Hino, sold 11.3 million vehicles, more than any other automaker.
2. Who are the key people named in the case, and what roles do they play? Which other stakeholders — individuals or groups — have an interest in the business?
Kiichiro Toyoda, founder of Toyota Motor Corporation, created the just-in-time idea, and Sakichi Toyoda, founder of the Toyota Group, inspired jidoka. Taiichi Ohno built the framework for just-in-time. Akio Toyoda was president during the 2011 earthquake and apologized to customers for delays. Masayoshi Shirayanagi led supply chain and procurement and described the RESCUE database, and Kenta Kon was named president and CEO effective April 2026. Other stakeholders include suppliers and their own suppliers (such as chipmaker Renesas), customers waiting for cars, Toyota’s 25,000 North American workers in 2011, rival automakers such as GM and Ford, and the communities hit by the disaster.
3. Identify an opportunity and/or a challenge the business faces in this case.
Challenge: Toyota’s just-in-time system keeps very little stock on hand, so when the 2011 earthquake damaged suppliers, Toyota could not get about 150 types of parts and lost production of about 260,000 cars. Opportunity: its new supplier map and chip reserves helped Toyota keep production largely on target in early 2021 while rivals such as GM and Ford cut output, and it became the No. 1 automaker by sales in North America in the second quarter of 2021.

Practice Questions

These apply the Unit 1 concepts from Task 6 to the case, in the style of AP free-response prompts.

1. Describe two factors Toyota considered when developing its production process. Use evidence from the case.Topic 1.8 · LO 1.8.A
One factor is cost and efficiency: just-in-time means making only what is needed, when it is needed, and in the amount needed, so Toyota keeps only a minimum of parts on hand and avoids the waste of paying for and storing extra inventory. Because a car has more than 30,000 parts, many made in partner plants, this requires close coordination with suppliers, so Toyota uses kanban cards to signal suppliers to deliver the required quantity right when it is needed. A second factor is quality: under jidoka, a machine stops or a worker pulls a cord to halt the line when something goes wrong, so defective products are not passed along to the next step. After the 2011 earthquake, Toyota also gave more weight to the reliability of its supply, which led it to add chip reserves.
2. Explain how Toyota’s competitive advantage strategy influenced its supply chain decisions. Use evidence from the case.Topic 1.8 · LO 1.8.C
Toyota’s strategy is to deliver vehicles quickly, at low cost, and with high quality by eliminating waste. Because low cost depends on not tying up money in extra parts, Toyota built a just-in-time supply chain in which suppliers deliver only what each step uses, and it spread this system to its suppliers starting in the late 1960s. The 2011 earthquake showed that this lean chain could stop production and leave customers waiting for their cars. So Toyota kept its low-waste approach for most parts but added targeted protection—chip reserves of two to six months, parallel sourcing, and the RESCUE supplier map—and paid for the reserves by giving suppliers back part of the yearly cost cuts it normally asks of them. These decisions protected its competitive advantage in 2021, when it kept production largely on target while GM and Ford cut output.
3. Explain how a disruption at a single supplier can affect a manufacturer’s ability to meet customer needs, and describe one strategy Toyota adopted to reduce that risk. Use a cause-and-effect chain and evidence from the case.Topic 1.8 · LO 1.8.B
In a just-in-time supply chain, a manufacturer keeps few spare parts, so when one supplier cannot deliver, the production line has nothing to fall back on. After the 2011 earthquake damaged suppliers, Toyota could not secure about 150 types of parts, so its Japanese plants ran at only half capacity and it lost production of about 260,000 cars. Fewer cars built meant long delivery delays, and Akio Toyoda had to apologize to customers who were waiting. One strategy Toyota adopted afterward was requiring suppliers to keep two to six months’ worth of chips in reserve for Toyota. When chip supplies tightened in early 2021, those reserves helped Toyota keep production largely on target until May, although a longer shortage combined with COVID-19 outbreaks in Asia still forced Toyota to cut its September 2021 production 40% below plan.

Discussion Questions

Talk these through with a partner or your class. There's more than one good answer, so back yours up with evidence from the case.

  1. Toyota’s suppliers, not Toyota, hold the extra chips. Is that fair to the suppliers? Does Toyota’s practice of giving back part of its yearly cost cuts change your answer?
  2. A Toyota spokesman called the chip reserve plan “a classic lean solution.” Did Toyota abandon just-in-time after 2011, or adapt it? Use evidence from the case.
  3. Even with its safety net, Toyota cut its September 2021 production by 40%. What does this suggest about the limits of planning for supply chain risk?
  4. In 2011, Toyota promised not to lay off any of its 25,000 North American workers during the production cuts. How might that decision affect employees, customers, and the company over time?
  5. Which change do you think did the most to help Toyota in early 2021? (a) chip reserves held by suppliers, (b) the RESCUE map of suppliers’ suppliers, (c) parallel sourcing, or (d) the supplier relationships built after 2011. Defend your choice with evidence from the case.

Application Activity

Pick a product you use often (a phone, a pair of sneakers, a slice of pizza). Map its supply chain from raw materials to you in at least four stages. Identify the stage you think is most likely to be disrupted, and recommend one strategy—such as a backup supplier, extra safety stock, or a map of suppliers’ suppliers—to reduce that risk. Explain what your strategy would cost the business.

Key Takeaways

  • Production process decisions involve trade-offs among cost, quality, speed, and reliability. Toyota’s just-in-time system cut waste and inventory, but it left little room for error when a supplier could not deliver.
  • A supply chain can break at a link the business cannot see. The 2011 disaster showed that risks can hide among suppliers’ suppliers, so mapping the full chain and having more than one source for key parts are important ways to reduce supply chain risk.
  • A competitive advantage strategy shapes supply chain choices. Toyota kept its low-waste approach for most parts but added targeted reserves for hard-to-replace chips, which helped it keep production going in early 2021 while many rivals cut output.

Use it in your Business Canvas Project

In your Business Canvas supply chain plan, identify your most critical input and ask what happens if it is unavailable for a month. Decide whether you will keep extra stock, line up a second supplier, or accept the risk, and explain how that choice fits your plan for competitive advantage.

For Teachers

Opening activity: Ask students: If you ran the snack stand at your school’s games, would you buy all the snacks for the season at once or restock right before each game? Have pairs list one advantage and one risk of each approach. Then explain that the world’s largest automaker faces the same choice—with more than 30,000 parts in every car.

Tip: “Print case” prints the case and all questions with the sample answers hidden, so it works as a student handout.

Sources

  1. Toyota Production System, Toyota Motor Corporation, accessed 2026-10-16
  2. Toyota Virtual Factory Tour: Toyota Production System, Toyota Motor Corporation, accessed 2026-10-16
  3. Toyota Production System (75 Years of Toyota), Toyota Motor Corporation, accessed 2026-10-16
  4. Toyota: Car production disrupted until end of 2011, Associated Press (via The Christian Science Monitor), 2011-04-22
  5. Toyota's Car Production Dropped 62% Following Japan Quake, Associated Press (via Manufacturing.net), 2011-04-25
  6. How Toyota thrives when the chips are down, Reuters (via Nippon.com), 2021-03-09
  7. How Toyota kept making cars when the chips were down, Fortune, 2021-08-02
  8. Toyota says to slash September output amid chip crunch, Covid resurgence, Reuters (via Malay Mail), 2021-08-19
  9. Toyota Keeps Title as Top Carmaker With Record Sales in 2025, Bloomberg (via Bloomberg Law), 2026-01-29
  10. Toyota appoints Finance Chief Kenta Kon as new CEO, electrive, 2026-02-06

This case was written for educational use from the public sources listed above. Toyota did not review it and is not affiliated with this site; company names are trademarks of their owners. This resource is independent and not affiliated with or endorsed by College Board.